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少卖了八千套2019年北京二手房成交过冬
2020-01-08 01:49   来源:  www.papawere.com   评论:0 点击:

少卖了八千套2019年北京二手房成交过冬新京报快讯(记者张晓兰)1月3日,贝壳研究院发布2019二手房市场年报。

  新京报快讯(记者张晓兰)1月3日,贝壳研究院发布2019二手房市场年报。报告指出,2019年全市二手房网签量为万套,同比下降%。房价方面,2019年北京二手房成交均价与2018年持平。北京二手房市场正在由“卖方市场”向“买方市场”过渡。报告预计,2020年,北京二手房市场将延续低位稳定态势,成交量稳定在15万套左右,价格波动在5%以内。

Beijing News Express (Reporter Zhang Xiaolan) January 3, Shell Research Institute released the 2019 second-hand housing market annual report. The report points out that in 2019, the number of second-hand housing net signings in the city was 10,000, down% from the same period last year. In terms of house prices, the average transaction price of second-hand housing in Beijing in 2019 is equal to 2018. Beijing second-hand housing market is in the transition from \"seller's market\" to \"buyer's market \". The report expects Beijing's second-hand housing market to remain low and steady in 2020, with trading volumes stable at around 150,000 units and prices fluctuating within 5 per cent.

  2017年这轮调控前,北京二手房月均成交万套,调控后月均成交万套。报告显示,2019年全市二手房网签量为万套,同比下降%。调控后的三年,北京全市二手房成交量维持在15万套左右的低位,较2016年27万套的峰值下滑近半。

Before this round of regulation and control in 2017, Beijing second-hand housing sold ten thousand sets per month, after the regulation and control of the monthly transaction of ten thousand sets. The report shows that the city's second-hand housing network signed up to 10,000 units in 2019, down% from the same period last year. The city's second-hand housing volume stayed low at around 150,000 units in the three years after regulation, down nearly half from its 2016 peak of 270,000 units.

  房价方面,报告显示,不同于调控前房价一路上涨,调控后成交均价随着成交量的波动而小幅上涨、下跌,2019年全年均价与2018年持平。2019年12月北京二手房成交均价万元/平方米,较调控当月历史峰值下跌12%,且2019年末北京房价不再是“内地第一”。

On the house price side, the report shows that unlike the previous regulation of house prices all the way up, the average transaction price after regulation and control with the volume fluctuations and slightly up, down,2019 full-year average with 2018. The average transaction price for second-hand housing in Beijing in December 2019 was 10,000 yuan per square meter, down 12 percent from its historical peak in the month of regulation, and prices in Beijing were no longer \"the first in the mainland\" at the end of 2019.

  在各区域的表现上,报告指出,在调控前的市场上行期,外围城区如通州、大兴及门头沟等房价涨幅明显。而调控后,中心城区表现出良好的抗跌性,与2017年一季度相比,2019年四季度西城区跌幅不到6%,海淀、东城及朝阳等房价跌幅亦相对较小,而外围城区跌幅靠前。

In the performance of the various regions, the report noted that in the pre-regulation of the market, the outside urban areas such as Tongzhou, Daxing and Mentougou prices rose significantly. And after the regulation, the central city showed a good resilience, compared with the first quarter of 2017, Xicheng fell less than 6% in the fourth quarter of 2019, Haidian, Dongcheng and Chaoyang, and other house prices fell relatively small, while the peripheral city fell ahead.

  值得一提的是,在高压政策下,房价下跌,购房者陷入观望,不再被恐慌的市场情绪牵动,而是多看多选。调控前,北京购房者买到一套房子平均需要40天,调控后成交周期持续拉长至三个月以上,客户快速成交率亦由64%降至36%。

It is worth mentioning that under the high-pressure policy, house prices fell, buyers into a wait-and-see, no longer affected by the panic of the market mood, but more to see the election. Before the regulation, it took an average of 40 days for Beijing buyers to buy a house, and the transaction cycle continued to stretch to more than three months after the regulation, and the customer's rapid transaction rate fell from 64% to 36%.

  值得一提的是,购房者在交易中的地位逐渐提升,反映其价格谈判力的议价空间由调控前不到2%的水平升至2019年底5%的水平,北京二手房市场正在由“卖方市场”向“买方市场”过渡。

It is worth mentioning that the position of buyers in the transaction is gradually rising, reflecting the bargaining space of their price negotiation power from less than 2% before the regulation to 5% at the end of 2019, and the second-hand housing market in Beijing is transitioning from \"seller market\" to \"buyer market \".

  报告显示,购房者的观望导致市场上可售房源积压,业主卖房难度加大。2019年底北京链家库存房源的去化周期达个月,业主想卖掉手中的房子平均需要近4个月。业主为出售所持房产要根据带看反馈数次下调报价,2019年北京链家成交房源的末次挂牌均价为519万元/套,而成交房源均价为500万元/套,意味着从谈判到成交过程中,业主还需要降价近20万元/套。回顾调控前夜“卖家报价728万元,买家从7点砍价到夜里11点,745万元成交”,买卖双方的位置发生了互换。

According to the report, buyers of the wait-and-see market can be sold on the backlog of housing, owners to sell more difficult. At the end of 2019, the period of degeneration of the Beijing chain's stock house was as high as months, with owners looking to sell their homes for an average of nearly four months. Owners of the property to sell on the basis of feedback several times to reduce the price, in 2019, the last listed price of the Beijing Lianjia transaction house price of 5.19 million yuan per set, while the average price of the transaction house price of 5 million yuan per set, meaning that from the negotiation to the transaction process, the owner also needs to reduce the price of nearly 200,000 yuan per set. Review regulation night \"seller quote 7.28 million yuan, buyers from 7:00 haggle to 11 pm,7.45 million yuan deal \", buyers and sellers of the location of the swap occurred.

  报告还显示,2019年北京换房者中年龄在40岁以上的占比达50%,而调控前2016年这一占比仅36%。翻倍的首付,让换房年龄后移,套均面积也有所缩小。2019年换房后套均面积扩大平方米,比调控前19平方米左右的水平缩小了平方米。

The report also showed that 50 percent of Beijing house changers were aged over 40 in 2019, compared with just 36 percent in 2016 before regulation. Double the down payment, so that the age of the replacement shift, the average area has also been reduced. The average floor area after the change of rooms in 2019 was expanded, shrinking square meters from the level of about 19 square meters before regulation.

  报告指出,2020年,北京二手房市场步入调控后第四个年头,政策不会有大的放松,市场供需矛盾极大缓和,市场预期平稳,北京二手房市场将延续低位稳定态势,预计2020年全年二手房成交量依旧稳定在15万套左右,价格波动在5%以内。

The report points out that in the fourth year after Beijing's second-hand housing market entered regulation and control, the policy will not be greatly relaxed, the market supply and demand contradictions will be greatly eased, the market is expected to be stable, Beijing's second-hand housing market will continue its low stability trend, and the volume of second-hand housing is expected to remain stable at around 150,000 units in 2020, with prices fluctuating within 5%.


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